Expected Earthquake, Volcanic or Storm Activity for the Next 1 to 5 Days
Are YOU Prepared?
September 12, 2005
By Stan Deyo
There are a number of small seismic pressure areas today all are weak.
The advisory given yesterday for Northern Sumatra is still in effect until the 15th of September.
The advisory for South island of New Zealand for a Richter 4+ near the southern end of the Island is in effect until the 14th of September.
The alert for a Richter 5+ in Fiji is still in effect until the 14th of September.
Japan still has continuing, small signals in the plate boundary region to the east of Tokyo. Not enough to worry about.
For now, I do not see an immediate threat to the US west Coast.
Australia has had several minor stress signals from Darwin to and area offshore and north of the Northwest Cape over the last three days.
These are the major observations for today.
NOTE: In order to see the earthquake "hits", you'll need to check quakes listings for the next 5 days.
Stan's analysis shows areas of possible earthquake or volcanic activity, or extreme storm conditions for the next 1 to 5 days. Pay particular attention to areas marked by white circles. The continuous yellow line denotes plate tectonic boundaries as well as the Ring of Fire. Go to the raw data map where it is easier to see the areas of concern. Go to Stan's earthquake map archives.
NEW FEATURE: The red circles are quakes predicted 5 days ago, designated with a "4", within Stan's current window. Light red circles are quakes predicted 4 days and so on up through white circles which are today's quakes for the current window.
DEYO NOTES: For earthquake maps, see the USGS "shake maps" (click anywhere on the global map for a closer view). For quakes USGS may not list, go to the European-Mediterranean Seismological Center's map and scroll to the bottom of the page for a global view. You can compare these maps for the next 5 days to Stan's NCODA maps, to see the hits of his seismic target zones (white circles).
Earthquake lists can viewed at EMCS and at USGS.
Ecuador's Geophysics Institute at the National Polytechnic School, does not list quakes on a daily basis as does the USGS and other entities, but when there are significant events, they post them in PDFs.
Disclaimer: Some of the forecast stress areas can be in error up to 30% due to cloud cover variations and false signals from buoys.