Expected Earthquake, Volcanic or Storm Activity for the Next 1 to 5 Days
Are YOU Prepared?
October 3, 2005
By Stan Deyo
Small stress offshore from Osaka today.
Small stress under Quito region.
New Guinea region:
West of Irian Jaya showing stress pattern near Molucca Sea... circa 5.0
Small stress under Hyderabad region.
The seismic threats are reduced today; however, I must observe that the NCODA anomaly maps I am receiving from the Navy's FNMOC center appear to have some very strange readings just northeast of Japan and east of Washington DC. You can see the small cross-like appearance of several small spots in these regions. When data is thin in a region you get spikes like these. Sometimes buoys fail and sometime satellite data are unavailable.
The thermals in these two areas look like shotgun pellets wee fired at the map. Perhaps it is just due to local eddies in coastal currents; but it is strange.
Stan's analysis shows areas of possible earthquake or volcanic activity, or extreme storm conditions for the next 1 to 5 days. Pay particular attention to areas marked by white circles. The continuous yellow line denotes plate tectonic boundaries as well as the Ring of Fire. Go to the raw data map where it is easier to see the areas of concern. Go to Stan's earthquake map archives.
NEW FEATURE: The circles in varying shades of red are quake prediction zones Stan made from 1 to 4 days ago - with dark red being the oldest ones. White circles are Stan's prediction zones for today. Tomorrow these white circles will become light pink and will get darker as each day passes until they are removed.
DEYO NOTES: For earthquake maps, see the USGS "shake maps" (click anywhere on the global map for a closer view). For quakes USGS may not list, go to the European-Mediterranean Seismological Center's map and scroll to the bottom of the page for a global view. You can compare these maps for the next 5 days to Stan's NCODA maps, to see the hits of his seismic target zones (white circles).
Earthquake lists can viewed at EMCS and at USGS.
Ecuador's Geophysics Institute at the National Polytechnic School, does not list quakes on a daily basis as does the USGS and other entities, but when there are significant events, they post them in PDFs.
Disclaimer: Some of the forecast stress areas can be in error up to 30% due to cloud cover variations and false signals from buoys.