Expected Earthquake, Volcanic or Storm Activity for the Next 1 to 5 Days
Are YOU Prepared?
October 5, 2005
By Stan Deyo
USA: San Francisco and eastward showing possible Richter 4+. Offshore and to the west the Mendocino Fault Zone is starting shows stress again.
Kurile Islands: showing small concentrated signals.
Admiralty Islands and northward: Showing continuing stress after the recent series of temblors in New Guinea.
Tonga region: Still showing signal of around Richter 5.0
Chatham Island: Signs of a Richter 4.0.
MacQuarie Island: Possible Richter 4.0+
Easter Island and NNW of it: Minor quakes possible.
Columbia and Ecuador: Possible Richter 6.0+
West of north Africa along the Equator: More severe storms breeding here. More hurricanes possible in next 10 days.
Off South African coast in the Cape Basin: Possible Richter 5.0.
Kerguelen Islands: Small quake signal
Gulf of Aden: Small quake signal
Andaman Islands: Signs of yet another Richter 5.0+
The seismic threats are widespread and some are appreciable. The strong thermal signals at Cape Verde -the birthplace of the hurricanes for Florida region- indicate an impressive storm or two in the making.
Stan's analysis shows areas of possible earthquake or volcanic activity, or extreme storm conditions for the next 1 to 5 days. Pay particular attention to areas marked by white circles. The continuous yellow line denotes plate tectonic boundaries as well as the Ring of Fire. Go to the raw data map where it is easier to see the areas of concern. Go to Stan's earthquake map archives.
NEW FEATURE: The circles in varying shades of red are quake prediction zones Stan made from 1 to 4 days ago - with dark red being the oldest ones. White circles are Stan's prediction zones for today. Tomorrow these white circles will become light pink and will get darker as each day passes until they are removed.
DEYO NOTES: For earthquake maps, see the USGS "shake maps" (click anywhere on the global map for a closer view). For quakes USGS may not list, go to the European-Mediterranean Seismological Center's map and scroll to the bottom of the page for a global view. You can compare these maps for the next 5 days to Stan's NCODA maps, to see the hits of his seismic target zones (white circles).
Earthquake lists can viewed at EMCS and at USGS.
Ecuador's Geophysics Institute at the National Polytechnic School, does not list quakes on a daily basis as does the USGS and other entities, but when there are significant events, they post them in PDFs.
Disclaimer: Some of the forecast stress areas can be in error up to 30% due to cloud cover variations and false signals from buoys.