Expected Earthquake, Volcanic or Storm Activity for the Next 1 to 5 Days

Are YOU Prepared?

November 1, 2005
By Stan Deyo
Home http://standeyo.com

USA: Northern California showing medium seismic signal at base of Juan de Fuca near mendocino.

Japan: Tokyo region small seismic signal offshore.

New Zealand: WARNING: EXTREME SEISMIC SIGNAL under North Island. Possible volcanic eruptions at White Island and Ruapehu. Watch Lake Taupo Caldera see; http://www.gns.cri.nz/what/earthact/volcanoes/nzvolcanoes/taupoprint.htm at north end for heating and steam vents. Watch the Rotorua Caldera see: http://history-nz.org/plateau.html just north of the Lake Taupo Caldera as well.
Without a doubt today's seismic signal under North Island in New Zealand has my undivided attention. From the NE corner of the Island diagonally across to Chatham Island region is under severe stress. The last time Lake Taupo Caldera erupted it at the end of 1st century A.D. (circa 86 A.D.) the cloud of debris it threw into the atmosphere caused three days of darkness in China - nearly 10,000 miles away and across the equatorial divide...

-Stan Deyo

For an explanation of how these maps are produced, please see this area.

Raw Data Map

Stan's analysis shows areas of possible earthquake or volcanic activity, or extreme storm conditions for the next 1 to 5 days. Pay particular attention to areas marked by white circles. The continuous yellow line denotes plate tectonic boundaries as well as the Ring of Fire. Go to the raw data map where it is easier to see the areas of concern. Go to Stan's earthquake map archives.

NEW FEATURE: The circles in varying shades of red are quake prediction zones Stan made from 1 to 4 days ago - with dark red being 1 day ago and the lightest red being 4 days ago. White circles are Stan's prediction zones for today. Tomorrow these white circles will become dark red and will get lighter as each day passes until they are removed.

These circles indicate the stresses in an area and warn of a probable quake in an area. The areas do not always convert to a quake. When a quake does occur and has been in or fairly close to the outer radius of a circle I have drawn over a given fault zone area then it is counted as a "hit". When stress signals go into a large land mass I have to estimate the radius of the circle and the vector to the nearest major fault on the land mass.

DEYO NOTES: For earthquake maps, see the USGS "shake maps" (click anywhere on the global map for a closer view). For quakes USGS may not list, go to the European-Mediterranean Seismological Center's map and scroll to the bottom of the page for a global view. You can compare these maps for the next 5 days to Stan's NCODA maps, to see the hits of his seismic target zones (white circles).

Earthquake lists can viewed at EMCS and at USGS.

Ecuador's Geophysics Institute at the National Polytechnic School, does not list quakes on a daily basis as does the USGS and other entities, but when there are significant events, they post them in PDFs.

Disclaimer: Some of the forecast stress areas can be in error up to 30% due to cloud cover variations and false signals from buoys.