Expected Earthquake, Volcanic or Storm Activity for the Next 1 to 5 Days
Are YOU Prepared?
January 25, 2006
By Stan Deyo
WARNING: Today's analysis begins with Japan as there are signs of something big brewing underneath Honshu Island possibly on its eastern side.
Japan: Honshu region has exhibited temblor signals for 4 of the last 5 days - 3 of them around Tokyo as a center. This could indicate a large seismic event in the immediate future. Caution and preparation are advised on Honshu. if the event does happen, it could produce a Tsunami that will strike the US west coast within 11 hours of the event...
Mexico: Mexico City region: Showing sign of a weak temblor today. Puerta Vallarta region is showing a weak sign of a temblor as well.
USA: Juan de Fuca region has shown signs of a weak temblor for 3 of the last 5 days. If Honshu has her quake then it might shake one under the Juan de Fuca region within a week.
USA: Hawaii has shown two weak, stress signals this past week.
Vanuatu region: showing signs of small to medium event.
New Zealand: showing signs of small to medium events ongoing.
Western Australia: region showing signs of stress but not focused. Could produce a small temblor.
Chile: Santiago region showing signs of small to medium event.
Summary: The areas where multi-colored circles are almost concentric for three or more days are areas of concern. Honshu Island and the Juan de Fuca region off Oregon are the two regions of most concern today. Stan Deyo
For an explanation of how these maps are produced, please see this area.
Stan's analysis shows areas of possible earthquake or volcanic activity, or extreme storm conditions for the next 1 to 5 days. Pay particular attention to areas marked by white circles. The continuous yellow line denotes plate tectonic boundaries as well as the Ring of Fire. Go to the raw data map where it is easier to see the areas of concern. Go to Stan's earthquake map archives.
NEW FEATURE: The circles in varying shades of red are quake prediction zones Stan made from 1 to 4 days ago - with dark red being 1 day ago and the lightest red being 4 days ago. White circles are Stan's prediction zones for today. Tomorrow these white circles will become dark red and will get lighter as each day passes until they are removed.
These circles indicate the stresses in an area and warn of a probable quake in an area. The areas do not always convert to a quake. When a quake does occur and has been in or fairly close to the outer radius of a circle I have drawn over a given fault zone area then it is counted as a "hit". When stress signals go into a large land mass I have to estimate the radius of the circle and the vector to the nearest major fault on the land mass.
DEYO NOTES: For earthquake maps, see the USGS "shake maps" (click anywhere on the global map for a closer view). For quakes USGS may not list, go to the European-Mediterranean Seismological Center's map and scroll to the bottom of the page for a global view. You can compare these maps for the next 5 days to Stan's NCODA maps, to see the hits of his seismic target zones (white circles).
Earthquake lists can viewed at EMCS and at USGS.
Ecuador's Geophysics Institute at the National Polytechnic School, does not list quakes on a daily basis as does the USGS and other entities, but when there are significant events, they post them in PDFs.
Disclaimer: Some of the forecast stress areas can be in error up to 30% due to cloud cover variations and false signals from buoys.